Digital Financial Inclusion and Poverty Reduction: A Longitudinal Analysis of the Mediating Effect of Financial Literacy
Abstract
The study investigated the impact of digital financial inclusion (DFI) on poverty reduction in Nigeria, disaggregating DFI into three distinct dimensions: penetration, availability, and usage. The study adopts a quantitative, longitudinal research design utilising annual time-series secondary data from 2008 to 2024 (17 years), sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin, National Bureau of Statistics, and Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System. Three separate Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression models were estimated, with financial literacy serving as a mediating variable. Findings revealed that financial penetration has a negative and statistically significant effect on poverty (α = -0.0342, p = 0.033), financial availability has a negative but statistically non-significant effect at the 5% level (γ = -2.891, p = 0.079), and financial usage has a negative and statistically significant effect on poverty (δ = -2.145, p = 0.048). Among the three models, financial usage demonstrated the highest explanatory power (R-squared = 0.61). The study concludes that while all three dimensions of financial inclusion contribute to poverty reduction in Nigeria, active usage of digital financial services exerts the largest impact. It recommends that the Central Bank of Nigeria should prioritise mobile money adoption by reducing transaction costs and expanding agent networks to close the poverty gap effectively.
